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BTC $96,420 +2.34% ETH $3,280 +1.82% SOL $185.40 -0.92% BNB $642.50 +0.45% XRP $2.18 +3.12% DOGE $0.082 -1.50% ADA $1.05 +0.80% AVAX $42.10 +1.15%
12/24/2025

Bitcoin skipping a "crazy" year-end price surge may help it avoid a brutal Q1 crash

Bitcoin may not hit the explosive year-end price levels many investors were hoping for, but according to Bitcoin entrepreneur and investor Anthony Pompliano, that's precisely what could spare the market from a severe crash in Q1 of next year. Speaking in an interview with CNBC, Pompliano argued that Bitcoin's volatility has dropped significantly. He emphasized that in the current compressed-volatility environment, the odds of Bitcoin facing a deep 70–80% correction are very low.

Bitcoin skipping a "crazy" year-end price surge may help it avoid a brutal Q1 crash

Bitcoin may not hit the explosive year-end price levels many investors were hoping for, but according to Bitcoin entrepreneur and investor Anthony Pompliano, that's precisely what could spare the market from a severe crash in Q1 of next year.

Speaking in an interview with CNBC, Pompliano argued that Bitcoin's volatility has dropped significantly. He emphasized that in the current compressed-volatility environment, the odds of Bitcoin facing a deep 70–80% correction are very low. In his view, the absence of a blow-off top in late Q3 or early Q4 may disappoint investors in the short term, but it also limits the risk of a sharp collapse.

Pompliano believes too many people are fixating on Bitcoin's failure to reach optimistic price targets like $250,000, while missing the long-term picture. In reality, Bitcoin has gained roughly 100% over the past two years and nearly 300% over three years, demonstrating its capacity for sustained growth over time. He described Bitcoin as "a powerful growth engine in the financial markets."

According to Pompliano, the lack of highly speculative price surges means the market panics less during corrections, which provides a degree of safety for long-term investors. While cautious outlooks for 2026 still exist, he believes the current stability is a positive foundation for Bitcoin's next growth cycle.